The Miami Heat are eager to reclaim the Southeast Division title from the Orlando Magic, and they’ll need more talent to do so. While rising stars like Nikola Jovic and Jaime Jaquez Jr. are key pieces, their internal growth could be what sets Miami apart from the surging Magic.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. proved himself as one of the top rookies last season, playing a pivotal role in the Heat’s challenging playoff run. He earned a spot on the All-Rookie First Team by showcasing valuable skills that make him a standout role player in the NBA. Known for his finishing ability around the rim, Jaquez shot 65% in the paint, ranking in the 62nd percentile among wings, according to Cleaning the Glass. His strong upper body and balance help him absorb contact and finish through defenders, making him a reliable scorer. As Jaquez matures, his finishing numbers are expected to improve even further.
One area of development for Jaquez is his three-point shooting. He shot 33% from beyond the arc during his rookie season, with glimpses of high-level accuracy. Between November and January, Jaquez shot 38% from three in 24 games, displaying a smooth shooting stroke. Although it’s a small sample size, it indicates that he has the potential to become a consistent knockdown shooter. If he can continue refining this aspect of his game, the Magic will certainly have to take notice.
Nikola Jovic, another young prospect, is Miami’s X-factor. The 6-foot-10 forward has the potential to evolve into a high-level playmaking forward. Jovic has already shown flashes of brilliance as a passer, making veteran-like decisions in pick-and-roll situations while always keeping his head up to find open teammates. However, his shooting remains a work in progress. According to the Bball Index, his open shot rate was rated as a “C,” meaning defenses haven’t been too worried about his shooting yet.
Jovic has made strides since his rookie year, but his finishing around the rim still needs improvement. He converted 58% of his shots at the rim last season, which is relatively low for a player of his size. Gaining more strength could help him in this area, and he’s already added at least 20 pounds since joining the Heat. If he can bulk up a bit more, Jovic could become a more formidable presence in the paint, using his touch and technique to finish through contact.
The Orlando Magic’s success, however, lies in their second-ranked defense, led by bulldog defender Jalen Suggs. Suggs plays defense with a tenacity that suggests he’d owe millions if he allowed a score. Jonathan Isaac, one of the league’s premier defenders, can guard all five positions and is a steals and blocks machine off the bench. But if the Heat’s young core can put together a breakout defensive season, Miami may be able to topple Orlando’s strongest suit and reclaim the division crown.
